Edinburgh, United Kingdom
Tier 2 · needs Kp 5 · Bortle 7. Live answer for Edinburgh tonight.
Crunching NOAA Kp, cloud cover, moon phase and darkness for Aberdeen…
connecting to NOAA SWPC + Open-Meteo…
Aberdeen is well outside the normal aurora zone, so a display here requires a genuinely strong geomagnetic storm — which is exactly why the sightings that do happen make the news.
Aberdeen needs Kp 5, and it has one genuine advantage over the rest of Scotland: this is the driest city in the country, sitting in the rain shadow of the Grampians. Aurora watching in Scotland is usually a battle with cloud, and Aberdeen starts that battle with better odds than Glasgow or Edinburgh.
Work from **15 Aug** to **27 Apr**: that is the stretch in which Aberdeen gets a properly black sky, 256 nights in all. Outside those dates the sun never drops the full 18° below the horizon, so some twilight stays in the sky whatever the geomagnetic forecast says. The counter-season is just as clearly defined: from about **28 Apr** to **14 Aug** (109 nights) the sun never gets 18° below the horizon, so the sky never reaches full darkness, and between roughly 20 May and 22 Jul it does not get properly dark at all — no display, however strong, is visible in that stretch.
Judge the season by the sun rather than the calendar at Aberdeen: 56.3° below the horizon on the darkest night, but never a full 18° between roughly 28 Apr and 14 Aug. Those are the nights when the aurora can be overhead and still invisible.
The coastline north and south of the city is the obvious line to take: flat sand and open sea give an uninterrupted horizon with nothing lit in front of you.
One practical rule covers most of it: from Aberdeen the aurora appears in the northern sky, so plan the spot around that view rather than the forecast. The "best window" above is the earliest hour tonight where cloud cover drops below roughly 40% and the sky at this latitude is genuinely dark.
The table below converts the abstract Kp index into what it actually means from Aberdeen, using its magnetic latitude of 57.1° and threshold of Kp 5:
| Kp index | What to expect at Aberdeen |
|---|---|
| Kp 0 | Nothing from Aberdeen — the oval stays too far north. On those nights the forecast at the top of this page will say NO, and that is the honest answer. |
| Kp 1 | Not visible here. On these nights a trip north would be the only option. Nothing to plan around — save the trip for a stronger forecast. |
| Kp 2 | No display at this latitude; the activity is confined north of Aberdeen. Worth knowing so that a quiet night reads as expected rather than disappointing. |
| Kp 3 | Possible as a low smudge from a dark-sky site — the city's own light will beat it. Give your eyes 20 minutes to adapt before deciding it is a no. |
| Kp 4 | Faint glow on the northern horizon, and only from genuinely dark ground outside the city. A camera will pull more colour out of this than your eyes will. |
| Kp 5 | A real display at this level: arcs forming on the northern horizon with visible structure and motion. Have a dark-sky spot picked out before you set off. |
| Kp 6 | Strong showing — tall rays, obvious colour, and curtains that reach well above the horizon. This is the range where phone cameras start to work. |
| Kp 7 | A big night: the lights are overhead rather than on the horizon, moving quickly and showing strong colour. These are the nights people travel for. |
| Kp 8 | Severe storm (G4–G5): the aurora reaches deep into mid-latitudes. From Aberdeen, look straight up — it can be everywhere. Watch the live forecast through the evening; this level can build quickly. |
| Kp 9 | Severe storm (G4–G5): the aurora reaches deep into mid-latitudes. From Aberdeen, look straight up — it can be everywhere. Find a wide-open horizon — at this level the display can move overhead. |
Two things have to line up for Aberdeen: the planetary index has to reach about Kp 5, and the local sky has to be clear. Kp is a three-hour planetary average, so a display can start and fade inside one interval, and short substorm bursts routinely outperform the headline number. When the answer above says MAYBE, that usually means the geomagnetic side is fine and cloud is the question.
Tonight's verdict for Aberdeen weights five inputs: the live Kp forecast measured against this city's own Kp 5 threshold (35%), night-average cloud cover at 57.15°, -2.09° (25%), moon illumination (15%), the astronomical darkness window computed for this latitude (15%), and light pollution at Bortle class 6 (10%). The method, its data sources and its known limitations are documented on our methodology page. No signup, no app, no account — the page computes everything in your browser from NOAA and Open-Meteo directly. Anonymous analytics and Google's advertising script are the only third parties involved, and both are set out on our privacy page.
The number that matters here is Kp 5, the point at which the oval reaches Aberdeen's magnetic latitude of 57.1°. Treat it as the start of the window rather than the peak: the display gains height and structure as the index climbs, and this is the level the verdict above is measured against.
Five inputs, refreshed every 15 minutes: the NOAA SWPC Kp forecast, hourly cloud cover for Aberdeen's coordinates from Open-Meteo, the moon, this latitude's astronomical darkness window, and Bortle 6 skies. Where the science genuinely cannot resolve the night ahead — substorm timing inside a three-hour Kp interval — the page says MAYBE instead of inventing certainty.
On the darkest night of the year the sun reaches 56.3° below the horizon, and it clears 18° on 256 nights annually. Between roughly 28 Apr and 14 Aug it does not, so the sky never gets fully dark in that stretch.
During strong displays, yes, but Aberdeen's Bortle 6 light pollution washes out anything except the brightest activity. For a Kp 5 display, driving 20–40 minutes to darker surroundings roughly doubles what you will see.
Plan around roughly 15 Aug to 27 Apr. Those dates are computed for Aberdeen's own coordinates — 256 nights on which the sun reaches 18° below the horizon. From about 28 Apr to 14 Aug, by contrast, the sky never goes properly black here, and no storm is strong enough to change that.
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